Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 3.587675 4.139836 4.745641 5.459220 6.276395 7.182626 8.263562
2025-01-19 2.634949 3.312451 4.118310 5.146111 6.420857 7.948743 9.918126
2025-01-26 2.204531 2.985497 3.981739 5.342601 7.150064 9.465136 12.652790
2025-02-02 1.943222 2.811840 3.990875 5.702215 8.116484 11.394146 16.175325
2025-02-09 1.669605 2.566221 3.853910 5.828637 8.770352 12.978737 19.443655
2025-02-16 1.438742 2.337283 3.696134 5.887277 9.317094 14.462227 22.744860
2025-02-23 1.208799 2.068031 3.431541 5.735301 9.510829 15.428539 25.374981
2025-03-02 1.002459 1.800542 3.125558 5.464318 9.465031 15.996986 27.424804
2025-03-09 0.886531 1.665363 3.013296 5.489910 9.895917 17.362740 30.911964
2025-03-16 0.764640 1.499553 2.823123 5.350041 10.016818 18.210856 33.604053
2025-03-23 0.722667 1.473884 2.876667 5.649636 10.947113 20.551026 39.165424
2025-03-30 0.671942 1.423136 2.875526 5.844035 11.701848 22.651329 44.515818
2025-04-06 0.602155 1.326768 2.779675 5.854589 12.130707 24.240962 49.183187
2025-04-13 0.510369 1.170438 2.543468 5.553286 11.908744 24.569664 51.467200
2025-04-20 0.479993 1.141640 2.564721 5.785399 12.798545 27.178459 58.594881
2025-04-27 0.466006 1.147272 2.659553 6.186689 14.092829 30.749061 68.106816
2025-05-04 0.432901 1.103302 2.639284 6.331184 14.849348 33.286095 75.731913
2025-05-11 0.397997 1.049375 2.588722 6.399251 15.442689 35.538025 82.993372
2025-05-18 0.352683 0.962224 2.448246 6.237052 15.486610 36.587593 87.698534
2025-05-25 0.305827 0.863233 2.264814 5.944530 15.182478 36.811561 90.529864
2025-06-01 0.281577 0.820212 2.213878 5.973145 15.657268 38.879632 97.897873
2025-06-08 0.251248 0.755563 2.098677 5.821829 15.665203 39.843797 102.729188
2025-06-15 0.245311 0.758887 2.162167 6.147288 16.927965 43.976992 115.776919